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Sussan Ley’s Coalition Crumbles as One Nation Surges in Polls

Australia's Leader of the Opposition Sussan Ley speaks at a press conference at Parliament House in Canberra on May 13, 2025. (Photo by Saeed Khan / AFP) (Photo by SAEED KHAN/AFP via Getty Images)

UPDATE: The latest Redbridge poll reveals a shocking decline for Coalition leader Sussan Ley, as the party’s primary vote plummets to a mere 24 percent. Meanwhile, One Nation surges ahead at 18 percent, raising alarms about the future of Australia’s conservative politics.

This dramatic shift signals a crisis within the Coalition, with many voters expressing skepticism about Ley’s leadership. Her preferred Prime Minister rating has dropped to an all-time low of just 10 percent, significantly trailing Anthony Albanese, who commands 40 percent support.

The implications are profound. In a political landscape marked by economic woes and social unrest, Ley’s recent announcements—including a commitment to abandon Net Zero emissions and a focus on reducing immigration—have done little to bolster her credibility. Voters across the nation, especially in the outer suburbs and rural areas, are increasingly disillusioned with her message.

In a revealing twist, reports are emerging that Coalition moderates are shifting their support to Andrew Hastie, with many believing he embodies a stronger conservative vision. The Redbridge poll illustrates a crucial lesson: for the Coalition to regain footing, it must unify the conservative vote.

The combined support for the Coalition and One Nation stands at 42 percent, just above the historical threshold necessary for conservative governance. However, as Ley’s leadership falters, the party faces an urgent need for a renewed strategy that resonates with its base.

The current political climate is charged, with many Australians feeling that their voices are not being heard. Ley’s inability to connect with voters has led to a growing frustration among conservatives who demand genuine leadership rather than political maneuvering.

As the Coalition grapples with internal divisions, the rise of One Nation poses a formidable challenge—not just to Ley’s leadership, but to Labor as well. Albanese’s government is under pressure as it navigates issues related to immigration and economic policy, which have polarized public opinion.

The stakes are high. If the Coalition fails to rekindle its conservative base and address the concerns of voters regarding immigration and economic stability, it risks ceding ground to One Nation and further fracturing the conservative vote.

Political analysts warn that the upcoming election could be a pivotal moment for both major parties. The discontent among voters could lead to significant shifts in support, reminiscent of past elections where the political landscape dramatically changed in a short period.

As this turmoil unfolds, the question remains: can Sussan Ley regain the trust of a skeptical electorate, or will her leadership go down in history as a moment of lost opportunity? The urgency is palpable, and the need for decisive action is more critical than ever.

For now, the Coalition’s future hangs in the balance as frustrated Australians await a leader who can restore faith in conservative governance. The clock is ticking, and voters are watching closely.

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