Support for One Nation has nearly doubled since the federal election in May 2023, according to the latest Newspoll. As the Coalition grapples with internal challenges and record low approval ratings, the poll reveals One Nation’s primary vote has reached 11 percent, while the Coalition stands at 28 percent—just one percent above its all-time low of 27 percent recorded last month.
The polling, conducted between Monday and Thursday last week, highlights a troubling trend for the Coalition, which has struggled to maintain support. Sussan Ley, the opposition leader, has seen her net approval rating drop to -20, with only 31 percent of respondents satisfied with her performance compared to 51 percent who are dissatisfied.
Coalition Struggles Amid Leadership Challenges
The backdrop for these poll numbers includes significant infighting within the Coalition and indications of a potential leadership challenge from Andrew Hastie. Hastie, who recently resigned from the shadow cabinet, has been vocal about his disagreements with Ley’s leadership. He has also raised concerns surrounding immigration and its link to housing affordability, further complicating the Coalition’s messaging.
As Ley attempts to forge a consensus on contentious issues, including the contentious target of net zero emissions by 2050, pressure is mounting. The topic has historically divided members of the Coalition, particularly moderate Liberals and Nationals. With a growing number of Liberals, including Hastie, publicly questioning the party’s stance, Ley’s ability to navigate these challenges is increasingly scrutinized.
Labor, on the other hand, continues to strengthen its position following its decisive victory in the last election. The Newspoll indicates that Labor’s primary support has increased to 37 percent—the highest level since June 2023. On a two-party preferred basis, Labor commands 57 percent compared to the Coalition’s 43 percent.
Labor’s Growing Dominance
Anthony Albanese, the Prime Minister, holds a substantial lead in the preferred prime minister stakes, with 52 percent of respondents supporting him compared to Ley’s 30 percent. This growing gap reflects the challenges the Coalition faces in regaining public trust and support.
As the political landscape shifts, the results of this poll signal significant implications for future elections and party dynamics. The Coalition must address its internal divisions and present a united front if it hopes to reclaim lost ground against a confident and increasingly popular Labor Party.
