Reports have emerged detailing two alleged antisemitic attacks in Australia, linked to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) of Iran. The Australian Security Intelligence Organisation (ASIO) has indicated that these incidents are part of a broader pattern of threats against Jewish communities globally. This troubling development raises questions about Iran’s motives, particularly in light of recent diplomatic tensions between Australia and Israel.
The attacks, which occurred in late 2024, targeted the Adass Israel Synagogue in Melbourne and a Jewish deli in Sydney. These actions follow a series of similar incidents in Europe, where Iranian interests reportedly employed criminal figures to intimidate Jewish communities. The IRGC’s involvement suggests a strategic approach aimed at projecting power beyond Iran’s immediate borders, particularly in countries with significant Jewish populations.
According to ASIO, the timing of these attacks coincides with heightened public discontent regarding Israel’s military actions in Gaza. Some analysts argue that these incidents serve to reinforce narratives propagated by right-wing Israeli leaders, who claim that Jews are unsafe outside of Israel. Such attacks may also undermine legitimate protests advocating for Palestinian rights, complicating the discourse surrounding the conflict.
Thomas Juneau, a professor at the University of Ottawa and an associate fellow at the Royal Institute of International Affairs, commented on Iran’s modus operandi. He noted that the Iranian government has historically resorted to “asymmetric” tactics to threaten dissidents and its enemies, particularly when faced with international sanctions that have stifled its military capabilities. The targeting of Jewish communities abroad reflects a broader strategy to project strength and deter perceived threats against the Iranian regime.
Australia, which has a small but prominent Jewish community, is not immune to such operations. Iranian Australians have long reported intimidation and harassment from their government, prompting calls for the Australian government to designate the IRGC as a terrorist organization. Following a similar designation by Canada in 2022, Australia is considering this classification to enhance legal protections for its Jewish community.
Designating the IRGC as a terrorist organization would enable Australian authorities to prosecute individuals involved in these activities under anti-terror legislation. However, the effectiveness of such measures hinges on the capabilities of law enforcement and intelligence agencies to enforce these laws. Juneau expressed caution, emphasizing that merely listing the IRGC without the means to implement effective actions could be largely symbolic.
Iran’s motivations for engaging in these activities are complex. The regime has sought to deter direct military attacks on its soil, particularly in light of previous conflicts involving Israel and the United States. Following significant military setbacks, including the destruction of Hezbollah’s capabilities, Iran may perceive a need to demonstrate its influence through indirect means. This shift could lead to an escalation of destabilizing activities abroad, further exacerbating tensions with Western countries.
The implications of these developments extend beyond immediate security concerns. As Iran grapples with internal challenges and international isolation, the IRGC’s focus on external operations might intensify. This trend could have long-lasting consequences for both Iranian citizens and international relations, particularly if Western nations are drawn into retaliatory measures.
While the situation remains fluid, the actions attributed to the IRGC underscore the precarious balance of power in the region. As Australia contemplates its response, the ramifications of these incidents will likely reverberate far beyond its shores, affecting diplomatic relations and the safety of communities around the world.
