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Urgent Update: ACCC Warns of Looming Gas Shortages by 2028

URGENT UPDATE: The Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) has just confirmed alarming findings about the East Coast gas market, predicting significant gas shortages as early as 2028. This critical report highlights that current regulations, intended to ensure a stable gas supply, are instead worsening the situation.

According to the ACCC, the existing regulatory framework is not only failing to boost gas availability but is also “exacerbating the risk of domestic supply shortfalls.” The alarming forecast indicates that despite having adequate reserves and resources for the next decade, the region faces an imminent crisis if substantial changes are not made.

The implications of this report are profound, affecting millions of Australians who rely on natural gas for heating, cooking, and electricity. With 40 percent of the energy used in Australian manufacturing coming from natural gas, the stakes are incredibly high.

The Federal Government is responding to this crisis by launching the Gas Market Review, which aims to streamline regulations and deliver a more reliable gas supply. This review represents a vital opportunity to overhaul the gas market and address the persistent cycle of short-term fixes that have failed to produce lasting solutions.

However, achieving a balanced approach between gas producers and consumers is a complex challenge. Natural gas is essential for more than five million Australian households. Its availability directly impacts the affordability of energy and the overall economic stability of the region.

The ACCC’s report cautions against further government intervention and price controls in the gas market, stating that previous attempts have caused more harm than good. Instead, a comprehensive reform package is necessary to break down barriers to new supply and encourage investment in gas infrastructure.

Immediate action is required to address long-standing delays in environmental approvals that have stalled critical projects. The Federal Government’s commitment to reform environmental laws for faster approvals is a promising step forward. Still, states like Victoria and NSW must also play their role in supporting new gas development to avoid the looming crisis.

The ongoing regulatory challenges have left projects like Santos’ Narrabri gas project in limbo, despite its potential to supply half of NSW’s annual gas demand. This stagnation highlights the urgent need for collaboration between federal and state governments to facilitate gas supply.

Calls for intervention to redirect Queensland’s LNG exports to the domestic market have emerged, but this perspective overlooks the need for a comprehensive approach to energy policy. Queensland’s access to international markets has been essential for the growth of its gas industry, and restricting exports could hinder future developments.

Australia has the capacity to balance domestic needs with export commitments, ensuring both energy security and economic partnerships in the region. The challenge lies in establishing a stable and predictable policy environment that benefits all parties involved.

As the Gas Market Review progresses, stakeholders from both sides of the gas market must come together to address the root causes of supply issues rather than merely treating the symptoms. The time for decisive action is now, as the risk of gas shortages looms ever closer.

Stay tuned as we continue to follow these developing stories and their impact on Australian households and the economy.

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