URGENT UPDATE: Australia is facing a potential crisis in aged care as new reports confirm a staggering shortage of 35,000 workers is needed this financial year alone. The alarming forecast, obtained by AAP under freedom of information laws, reveals that as the population ages, more individuals will require essential support, intensifying the demand for qualified staff.
Despite recent pay increases aimed at attracting new workers, the aged care sector is projected to require 120,000 additional staff by the year 2035/36. This includes nurses, nurse practitioners, and personal care workers. The revelations come as officials from the health and aged care department scramble to address the implications of a modeling error, which they claim was based on a draft document.
Emily Harper, first assistant secretary, informed a parliamentary inquiry that the forecasts referenced internal draft outputs that were never utilized in decision-making. However, she faced scrutiny when asked why the aged care minister had not been informed about the modeling errors. “Those internal draft outputs were not used in any fashion,” Harper stated, though the document released to AAP does not clarify its draft status.
The department’s modeling error relates to the mandatory care minutes requirement, which stipulates that aged care residents must receive at least 215 minutes of care daily. The outdated model inaccurately assumed that once a resident received this mandated care, staff could move on to assist other residents. The updated analysis now acknowledges that many older Australians may require longer assistance, widening the workforce gap significantly.
Officials also revealed they lack data on how many older Australians are currently stuck in hospitals due to the shortage of aged care placements. A growing backlog of patients waiting for aged care has led to mounting complaints from state governments, who argue that the federal government must take action to increase nursing home capacity.
When pressed about the number of impacted individuals, Blair Comley, department head, admitted, “Some governments collect information on the issue but more consistency was needed. We would not definitively know.”
The ongoing crisis has forced state governments to spend millions on maintaining hospital beds for elderly patients who cannot transition to aged care facilities. In light of these developments, a meeting among Commonwealth and state ministers is scheduled for next Friday to discuss solutions.
Opposition aged care spokeswoman Anne Ruston criticized the department, claiming they have their “head in the sand” regarding the severity of the situation. This urgent issue highlights the critical need for immediate action to prevent further deterioration of aged care services in Australia.
As the situation develops, stakeholders and families of affected seniors are encouraged to stay informed and voice their concerns as the aged care crisis escalates. This situation demands immediate attention and action to ensure the well-being of Australia’s vulnerable elderly population.


































